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The sound of a sound recovering?
This gull was probably a goner. "Oiled" feathers don't insulate, and when the bird cleans itself, it may eat a lethal dose of hydrocarbons. Note oily ocean in background. Courtesy Exxon Valdez Oil Spill Trustee Council. The Exxon Valdez Oil Spill Trustee Council takes a more cautious slant in its most recent report: "Ten years after the Exxon Valdez oil spill, it is clear that many fish and wildlife species injured by the spill have not fully recovered. It is less clear, however, what role oil plays in the inability of some populations to bounce back." Specifically, the Trustees list eight species, including harbor seals, as "not recovering," another eight as "recovering," and only six as "recovered." What does the government think? In sterling bureaucratese, a National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration study said the hard-hit intertidal communities in Prince William Sound were, "recovering, but not recovered." The long dispute over the health of the sound quickly slides into a nasty back-and-forth. While the Trustees imply that researchers funded by the oil industry are biased, Cirigliano says, "We take issue with some statements made by the so-called Valdez Trustees, some of the researchers who are using the billion dollars that Exxon paid for research in Prince William Sound, regarding their definition of recovery." (The actual figure is $900 million.) It's a legitimate scientific dispute. The trustees measure success by a return to pre-spill conditions, but Cirigliano says that's an unrealistic -- even impossible -- standard since "Nobody has any accurate numbers" on species before the spill. (Environmentalists, who argued for such "baseline" studies before the Alaska pipeline was built, counter that ignorance should not be an excuse.) You can never step in the same sound twice
David Page, a professor of chemistry and biochemistry at Bowdoin College, elaborates: "It will never be 1989 in Prince William Sound again. There has been a major warming trend in Alaska over the last 12 years... and changes in temperature have a profound effect on ecological relationships." A return-to-the-past standard, Page says, "is not only scientifically incorrect, but is incorrect with respect to federal regulations in the Clean Water Act, which define recovery as being what the spill zone would have been had the spill not occurred." Ecologically, he says, "Spinning the clock backwards makes absolutely no sense to me." Page, who has been studying oil spills for 28 years, with funding from governments, Exxon and other oil companies, says, "12 years is a very long time in the life of an oil spill. I think at the end of the day, the question of which species have now recovered, and which have not, is ... related to other factors.". One possibility, Page says, is natural oil seeps. "Petroleum is a natural product, and there are lots of places where it pours into the environment. A lot of hydrocarbons are available to the biota, carried in from seeps east of Prince William Sound." (Want more on finding petroleum?) In fact, a 2002 National Academy of Sciences report ""Oil in the Sea II" found that natural sources predominate both in the United States and globally. Seepage of crude oil from geologic formations below the seafloor in North America is estimated at more than 160,000 metric tons. Globally, the annual figure is 600,000 tons. So more than 60 percent of the petroleum entering North American waters, and more than 45 percent of that entering waters worldwide, comes from natural seeps. And that could explain why trustee-sponsored biopsies of dead sea otters in Prince William Sound have found what Mundy calls, "compromised livers and enzyme systems that indicate exposure to oil."
Drinking old oil? Ongoing, low-level pollution from ships and fishing boats "is now far more important" than Valdez residues, Page argues. "It's fair to say that what is being attributed to the spill, as long-term, lingering effects, when you look closely, objectively, you find there are other, more plausible explanations." Mundy acknowledges that natural seeps and low-level sources complicate the scientific effort. "Of course, making the linkage, a chain of custody from Exxon Valdez pockets in Prince William Sound to these animals, that's difficult if not impossible to do now. We know the [Valdez] oil is there, that it does get into clams that the sea otters eat ... it's highly plausible that organisms such as these continue to be exposed, and the populations in those areas are not yet the same as they were before the spill."
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